Roland Garros Daily Preview: Jannik Sinner Plays Carlos Alcaraz in the Men’s Semifinals - UBITENNIS
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Roland Garros Daily Preview: Jannik Sinner Plays Carlos Alcaraz in the Men’s Semifinals

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Jannik Sinner on Tuesday in Paris (twitter.com/rolandgarros)

The men’s singles semifinals will be played on Friday in Paris, as will semifinals in both men’s and women’s doubles.

The ATP singles semifinals feature three of the four top seeds, and the other player is the only of the four to have reached the championship match at Roland Garros, which he did in both of the last two years.  Which of the four will become a first-time French Open champion on Sunday?

The first singles semifinal of the day is a blockbuster, between the two best male players of the new generation.  Reigning Australian Open champion Jannik Sinner, who will become the new World No.1 on Monday, takes on reigning Wimbledon champion Carlos Alcaraz, who would become the new World No.2 if he wins this title.  Their matches have provided some of the most scintillating tennis of the last few years.  Who will win the ninth chapter of their developing rivalry?

The second semifinal sees Sascha Zverev try to overcome a 1-6 record in Major semifinals, against two-time French Open finalist Casper Ruud, who is 3-0 in Major semifinals.  And it’s a rematch from the same round of this same event a year ago, when Ruud demolished Zverev, dropping just seven games.


Carlos Alcaraz (3) vs. Jannik Sinner (2) – Not Before 2:30pm on Court Philippe-Chatrier

The most notable of their previous matches is their epic US Open quarterfinal from 2022, which lasted over five hours and ended at nearly 3:00am local time.  Alcaraz prevailed 6-3 in the fifth, in a match that featured a mind-boggling level of tennis across all five hours.  Carlitos would go on a few days later to win his first Major, while Jannik would have to wait nearly 18 months to win his.

Overall they have split eight prior encounters at tour level, though Sinner claimed their only meeting on clay.  That was the final of Umag two summers ago, when Jannik came back from a set down to win in three.  In their only matchup of 2024, it was Alcaraz coming from a set down to hand Sinner his first loss of the year, in the Indian Wells semifinals.

That remains one of only two losses for the Italian this season, as he’s now 33-2.  The other was in the semifinals of Monte Carlo, at the hands of Stefanos Tsitsipas.  Despite battling illness and a hip injury prior to this fortnight, Sinner has dropped only one set to this stage. 

Alcaraz has also been struggling with an injury of late, to his right arm.  But that has not seemed to impact his form, as the Spaniard has also only dropped one set.  Carlitos is 23-5 on the year, and 2-2 in Major semifinals, while Jannik is 1-1. 

Since last fall, Sinner has clearly been the best male singles players in the world.  By contrast, Alcaraz has struggled since losing an epic final in Cincinnati last summer to Novak Djokovic, and has only claimed one title since winning Wimbledon nearly a year ago.  However, while Carlitos’ two Major titles have come on a hard court and a grass court, clay is the surface he grew up on, and the one he is most comfortable on.

This feels like a monumental semifinal, and it will likely have Major implications at this tournament and beyond.  With Djokovic and Nadal both already eliminated, the winner of this matchup between the ATP’s two best players will be the favorite in Sunday’s championship match.  And with Djokovic having undergone knee surgery earlier this week, Sinner and Alcaraz will also be the two favorites next month to win Wimbledon.

On Friday, I give the slight edge to Alcaraz.  Sinner is yet to solidify himself as an elite clay court player, as the aforementioned Umag title remains his only one on this surface.  Jannik’s other three victories over Carlitos have come on faster courts (Wimbledon, Miami, Beijing), while Alcaraz has now beaten Sinner in both of the last two years in Indian Wells, which plays at a speed closer to a clay court.  Regardless of the outcome, these two young men seem primed to deliver another classic encounter.


Casper Ruud (7) vs. Sascha Zverev (4) – Last on Court Philippe-Chatrier

It has already been quite a tournament for Zverev, who plays while a trial regarding domestic abuse allegations against him is ongoing in Germany.  He drew 14-time champion Nadal in the first round, impressively defeating the King of Clay in straight sets.  Sascha would go on to win back-to-back five-setters, over Tallon Griekspoor and Holger Rune, before taking out Alex de Minaur in the last round in straight sets. 

Ruud’s road to this semifinal was also quite complicated.  He required four sets to overcome both Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Taylor Fritz, and five against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.  But in the quarterfinals, he received a walkover from an injured Novak Djokovic.  Casper now vies for his third consecutive Roland Garros final, and every time he has advanced beyond the fourth round of a Major, he’s gone all the way to the championship match.

However, we’ve seen in previous years how receiving a walkover in the later round of a Slam often leads to defeat in the next round.  The most relevant example is when Djokovic received a walkover from Italy’s Fabio Fognini in the 2011 Roland Garros quarterfinals.  In the very next round, Roger Federer ended Novak’s perfect season to date, as Djokovic had won his first 43 matches of the year.  Players are creatures of habit, and Ruud having three full days off between matches may disrupt his rhythm.

But perhaps even more troubling is Zverev’s 1-6 record in Major semifinals.  And his only victory came in an empty stadium at the 2020 US Open, when he came from two sets down against a tight Pablo Carreno Busta.  Of course it was in the semifinals of this event two years ago when Sascha suffered a gruesome ankle injury that ended his season.  And a year ago, Ruud defeated Zverev in this round by a score of 6-3, 6-4, 6-0.

Overall they have split four previous meetings, with the other three occurring on hard courts.  But a year after their last matchup at this same tournament, Sascha is a much stronger player.  12 months ago, he had not fully rediscovered his form coming off the ankle injury. 

Both men achieved good results on clay coming into this fortnight: Ruud advanced to the final of Monte Carlo and won Barcelona, while Zverev won Rome, and is currently on an 11-match winning streak.  In another tough semifinal to call, I lean towards Zverev to extend his winning streak on Friday.  He feels due for a semifinal victory at a Major, and Sascha is currently playing with more confidence than he’s possessed in a few years.  And in what will likely be a close contest, Zverev’s serving prowess may be the difference, along with his tremendous record of 23-2 in tiebreakers at Roland Garros.


Other Notable Matches on Friday:

Marcel Granollers and Horacio Zeballos (1) vs. Marcelo Arevalo and Mate Pavic (9) – Granollers and Zeballos are looking to reach their fourth Major final, though they’re yet to win one.  Arevalo won this event in men’s doubles two years ago alongside France’s Jean-Julien Rojer, while Pavic is a three-time Major champion in men’s doubles, with three different partners.  This is a rematch from the final in Rome a few weeks ago, where Granollers and Zeballos prevailed 6-2, 6-2.  The winners will face Italy’s Simone Bolelli and Andrea Vavassori in the championship match on Saturday.

Sara Errani and Jasmine Paolini (11) vs. Marta Kostyuk and Elena-Gabriela Ruse – Paolini is looking to match what Errani did here in 2012: advance to the final in both women’s singles and women’s doubles.  That year, Errani was the runner-up in singles, and a champion in doubles.  Kostyuk and Ruse were also semifinalists at the last Major in Melbourne.

Caroline Dolehide and Desirae Krawczyk (8) vs. Coco Gauff and Katerina Siniakova (5) – Gauff will look to bounce back from another disappointing loss to Iga Swiatek on Thursday.  This is the third consecutive year Coco has reached the semifinals or better at Roland Garros in women’s doubles.  Siniakova won this event twice alongside Barbora Krejickova.  Dolehide is 0-4 in Major semis in this discipline, while Krawczyk was a runner-up here in 2020.


Friday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Wimbledon Daily Preview: Andy Murray’s Last Wimbledon Hurrah?

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An unusually smiley Andy Murray arriving at Wimbledon (twitter.com/Wimbledon)

Day 2 at The Championships is scheduled to host the completion of first round singles play.

Five-time Major champion Iga Swiatek faces a potentially risky opening round draw on Tuesday, in 2020 Australian Open champion Sofia Kenin, who a year ago upset Coco Gauff in this same round.  At the only Major where Swiatek is yet to reach the semifinals, and coming off an extremely successful yet grueling clay court season, is Iga ripe for an upset on her weakest surface?

Other first round action on Day 2 features both of last year’s women’s singles finalists: the champion Marketa Vondrousova, and the two-time runner-up, Ons Jabeur.  Plus, Major champs Elena Rybakina, Angelique Kerber, and Caroline Wozniacki will all play their opening contests.  And Jelena Ostapenko will reignite a prickly rivalry with Ajla Tomljanovic.

Tuesday’s ATP schedule is headlined by seven-time champion Novak Djokovic, who will play his first match since undergoing knee surgery just a few short weeks ago.  And another injured champion, Andy Murray, is scheduled to take to the singles court at Wimbledon for what may be the last time.  The two-time champion had a minor procedure on his injured back just over a week ago, but is aiming to play both singles and doubles in what he has announced will be his last year playing at The Championships.

Throughout the tournament, this preview will analyze the day’s four most prominent matches, while highlighting the other notable matches on the schedule.  Tuesday’s play begins at 11:00am local time.


Sebastian Korda (20) vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (LL) – 11:00am on Court 16

This is a tough first round draw for the surging American, who just debuted inside the top 20 after reaching the final of ‘s-Hertogenbosch, as well as the semifinals of Queen’s Club.  Mpetshi Perricard is an extremely impressive 20-year-old Frenchman who stands at six feet, eight inches tall.  Just six weeks ago in Lyon, which was only his fourth tour-level event, Giovanni won his first ATP Title.  And two weeks ago at Queen’s Club, he upset Ben Shelton in straight sets.

Meptshi Perricard has a big serve, and can also crush the ball from the back of the court.  His game is well-suited for the grass of SW19.  But Korda certainly has the edge in experience.  He advanced to the second week of this event back in 2021, though a year ago he was upset in the first round by Jiri Vesely.

Sebi has struggled to rediscover his form since suffering a wrist injury at the 2023 Australian Open, yet his recent results on grass suggest he finally is.  I favor Korda to prevail in what should be a fascinating first round contest to start the day.


Ajla Tomljanovic (WC) vs. Jelena Ostapenko (13) – Second on Court 12

Three years ago after their third round match at this tournament, these players shared a contentious exchange at the net.  Tomljanovic won 6-2 in the third, but not before Ostapenko took a medical timeout late in the third set, leading to Ajla accusing Jelena of faking.  Jelena then scolded Ajla for her “terrible behavior.” 

But that remains Tomljanovic’s sole victory over Ostapenko, as Jelena has taken their other three meetings.  That includes another three-setter this past January at the Australian Open, though Ajla was coming off a prolonged absence during 2023 due to a knee injury.  The Australian is just 6-7 this season, as she missed more time due to a health issue.  But she reached the final of Birmingham just two weeks ago.

Ostapenko got off to a great start to her 2024, winning titles in both Adelaide and Linz.  However, she went just 1-2 on grass in June.  Jelena is as streaky and unpredictable as they come, but I give her the slight edge on Tuesday based on recent form, as well as their sorted history.


Iga Swiatek (1) vs. Sofia Kenin – Last on No.1 Court

Swiatek is a superb 45-4 on the year, though as usual, she arrives at The All-England Club without playing a match on grass.  It’s understandable considering she played 22 matches on clay within a two-month period, but it’s far from ideal preparation for a surface she’s still trying to figure out.  However, Iga did win the girls’ title here back in 2018, so winning on grass is not a completely foreign concept to her.

It’s been a rough season for Kenin, as the 2020 WTA Player of the Year is 7-16 at all levels.  She is yet to rediscover the tennis that propelled her to the finals of two Majors just four years ago.  However, a month ago in Paris, she reminded us how capable she is of upsetting top names at any time, when she eliminated French No.1 Caroline Garcia.  And Sofia has never lost in the first round of Wimbledon.

Swiatek is 2-0 against Kenin, with both victories coming in straight sets.  Those matches took place in the championship match of Roland Garros in 2020, and the first round of this year’s Australian Open.  On Tuesday, I favor Iga to make it 3-0 against Sofia, and I would not be surprised to see Swiatek make a deep run this year at The Championships, in a quarter of the draw that looks rather open.


Andy Murray vs. Tomas Machac – Last on Centre Court

We will not know until Tuesday morning if Andy Murray will indeed play this match, as he continues to rehab the back injury he suffered less than two weeks ago at Queen’s Club.  And that came on the heels of rupturing ligaments in his left ankle earlier this season in Miami.  This was all a less-than-ideal way to prepare for his 16th and final appearance at his home Slam and favorite event, where he has achieved such history for British tennis.

His opponent on Tuesday is the same one he injured his ankle against in Miami.  Machac is in the midst of a breakout season, as the 23-year-old cut his ranking in half between January and June, from No.78 to No.34.  Tomas defeated Andy in a third-set tiebreak on his way to the Miami quarterfinals, a run that also featured a victory over Andrey Rublev.  Two months later, Machac was a finalist in Geneva on clay.

If Murray takes to the court, this would actually be their third meeting of 2024, as Tomas also defeated Andy this past February in Marseille.  Hopefully Murray is able to play, and can do so without doing any further damage to his back, as that would risk his plan to play doubles this fortnight with brother Jamie.  But considering Sir Andy’s tenuous condition, Machac must be favored to earn his first-ever win at The All-England Club.


Other Notable Matches on Tuesday:

Elena Rybakina (4) vs. Elena-Gabriela Ruse (Q) – The 2022 champion withdrew from two different grass court lead-up events, citing illness and scheduling changes.  Two years ago in Miami, she defeated Ruse 6-4, 7-5.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs. Marketa Vondrousova (6) – The 2023 champion withdrew from Berlin due to a hip injury after falling on the grass, but says she’s feeling good, and is ready to defend her title.  Bouzas Maneiro is a 21-year-old from Spain looking for her first win at a Major.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Alexander Zverev (4) – After failing to win his first Major three weeks ago in Paris, despite being one set away from doing so for the second time in his career, Zverev lost in the semifinals of Halle to Hubert Hurkacz.  Carballes Baena is just 1-5 lifetime at Wimbledon.

Vit Kopriva (Q) vs. Novak Djokovic (2) – Just how healthy is Novak’s knee following the procedure he had after injuring it during Roland Garros?  Kopriva is a 27-year-old qualifier from the Czech Republic who is 0-1 in the main draw of Slams.

Yulia Putintseva vs. Angelique Kerber (WC) – The 2018 champion is just 7-13 since returning from maternity leave, but she’s won her last 10 first round matches at The Championships.  Putintseva claimed a grass court title just over a week ago in Birmingham, though she is 1-2 against Angie.

Caroline Wozniacki (WC) vs. Alycia Parks (Q) – Wozniacki is 13-12 since unretiring last summer, and suffered a knee injury last week in Bad Homburg after winning two matches.  Parks is a big-hitting 23-year-old American qualifier who is currently on an eight-match grass court win streak, though all those matches occurred either at ITF level or during qualifying last week.

Ons Jabeur (10) vs. Moyuka Uchijima – Jabeur has been the runner-up in consecutive years at SW19, despite being the pre-match favorite in both of those finals.  She went 4-2 on grass during the month of June.  Uchijima is a 22-year-old from Japan who is just 3-6 lifetime on this surface at all levels.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (17) vs. Thanasi Kokkinakis – Auger-Aliassime was a quarterfinalist here in 2021, yet has lost in the first round in both of the last two years.  He also lost in the first round of Halle two weeks ago.  Kokkinakis is only 1-3 lifetime at this tournament.


Tuesday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Aryna Sabalenka Withdraws From Wimbledon

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Two-time Australian Open champion Aryna Sabalenka has pulled out of Wimbledon after recently casting doubt on her participation in the tournament. 

The world No.3 has withdrawn from the tournament due to a shoulder injury, according to an official statement from the AELTC. Sabalenka would have been a title contender in the tournament after reaching the quarter-finals or better at the last seven Grand Slam tournaments. 

“I’m heartbroken to tell you all that I won’t be able to play the Championships this year,” Sabalenka said in a statement posted on social media.
“I tried everything to get myself ready but unfortunately my shoulder is not cooperating. I pushed myself to the limit in practice today to try my best, but my team explained that playing would only make things worse. 
“This tournament means so much to me and I promise I’ll be back stronger.”

Over the weekend, the 26-year-old admitted to reporters that she was ‘not 100 percent fit’ and was struggling with a shoulder injury that forced her to withdraw from her match against Anna Kalinskaya at the Berlin Open in Germany. She later added that there was a ‘chance’ that she wouldn’t be playing. 

“It’s teres major,” she said of her physical issue. “I call it just shoulder injury. It’s really a specific injury, and it’s really a rare one. Probably I’m just the second or the third tennis player who injured that muscle. [It’s] a very frustrating one. The most annoying thing is that I can do anything. I can practice, I can hit my groundstrokes. I’m struggling with serving. That’s really annoying.
“You don’t feel like you’re injured. If you give me some weights, I’m going to go lift some weights. But if you tell me to serve, I’m going to go through pain. We did an MRI, we did everything. We did a lot of rehab, a lot of treatments.”

Sabalenka has now missed Wimbledon in three out of the past five years. However, the tournament wasn’t held in 2020 due to COVID-19 and in 2022 she was unable to play because of the decision to ban Russian and Belarussian players. 

She will be replaced in the draw by lucky loser Erika Andrea, who will play Emma Betkas in the first round on Monday. 

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Marketa Vondrousova Expecting ‘Tough’ Title Defence At Unpredictable Wimbledon

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Marketa Vondrousova predicts ‘many surprises’ will occur in this year’s Wimbledon draw as she bids to become the first woman since 2016 to defend their title. 

The Czech stunned the draw 12 months ago when she beat Ons Jabeur to claim her first and only major title. Her triumph made Vondrousova the seventh different player to win the trophy in as many years. The women’s game has had a reputation for inconsistency over the years but more shocks appear to occur on the grass. 

“I think the draw is really open, for sure. I think we can expect many surprises on the grass courts. I feel like you never know what’s going to happen there,” the world No.6 said on Sunday. 
“I feel like women’s tennis and women’s draws are really open these days and matches are tough, even from the first round. I think we can expect tough matches from the first matches.”

It is this unpredictability that is making the 25-year-old stay grounded about her chances in this year’s event. She is yet to win a title in 2024 with her best run being on the clay when she reached the semi-finals in Stuttgart, as well as the quarter-finals of the French Open. More recently, in Berlin, she suffered an injury scare after slipping on the German grass. 

“I feel like you just have to prepare for the stress and the pressure. Now people are watching you more, they expect you to play semis or finals in every tournament. I don’t think that’s possible.” She said.
“I don’t think you can feel stress-free at all when you are 6 in the world.”

Fortunately for Vondrousova, the scare wasn’t significant enough to have any impact on her Wimbledon preparation. In the first round, she will take on Spain’s Jessica Bouzas Maneiro who has won two ITF events and a WTA 125 already this year. 

“It was really scary. I didn’t play for a couple of days. I’m feeling good. I hope it’s going to be okay.” She concluded.

The last woman to win back-to-back Wimbledon titles was Serena Williams.

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