Australian Open Daily Preview: Opportunities Abound in Open Sections of the Draws - UBITENNIS
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Australian Open Daily Preview: Opportunities Abound in Open Sections of the Draws

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Linda Noskova this past week in Melbourne (twitter.com/AustralianOpen)

Fourth round singles action concludes on Monday in Melbourne.

The top half of the women’s singles draw has completely fallen apart, with only one of the top eight seeds in this half defending their seeding, and that seed has only reached one Major quarterfinal.  The other seven remaining are a two-time champion of this event who hasn’t won a Major in over a decade, a three-time Major semifinalist who is yet to go farther, and five players vying for their first-ever Major quarterfinal.  We are guaranteed to see WTA players breaking new ground this week.

The bottom half of the men’s singles draw, which plays on Monday, would seemingly be leading to another Carlos Alcaraz/Daniil Medvedev Major semifinal.  However, neither played their best during the first week, and either could be vulnerable to an upset.  The others remaining include three men making their debut at this stage of a Major, two Wimbledon semifinalists, and a US Open runner-up.

Throughout the tournament, this preview will analyze the day’s four most prominent matches, while highlighting the other notable matches on the schedule.  Monday’s play gets underway at 11:00am local time.


Victoria Azarenka (18) vs. Dayana Yastremska (Q) – 12:00pm on Rod Laver Arena

Azarenka won a pair of three-setters to start the fortnight, then impressively took out an in-form Jelena Ostapenko in straights.  That victory gave Vika her 50th match win at the Australian Open, making her one of only six women to achieve that mark in the Open Era.  A semifinalist a year ago, the two-time champ is vying for her seventh quarterfinal at this event.

23-year-old Yastremska was a WTA tour champion at the age of 18, and reached the second week of Wimbledon at the age of 19.  But in 2021, she missed the first six months of the year due to a doping suspension, which was later reversed, and her ranking is yet to recover from its peak of No.21.  Dayana spent much of 2023 ranked outside the top 100 and playing lower-level tournaments, but the qualifier has won six matches within the last two weeks in Melbourne, and eliminated two seeded players (Vondrousova, Navarro).

They’ve played three times, all on hard courts, with Azarenka leading 2-1.  Yastremska’s only victory came in their first meeting five years ago.  Vika has taken the last two in straight sets, and on Monday, she should be favored to win for a third time in a row.  Experience should play a huge role in this contest, as Dayana tries to break new ground in her career by reaching a Major quarterfinal.


Linda Noskova vs. Elina Svitolina (19) – Not before 1:30pm on Margaret Court Arena

Since returning to the tour last Spring after becoming a mother, Svitolina has been a different, more aggressive player, especially at the Majors.  Elina is 14-3 at the last four Slams, as she vies for her third quarterfinal out of the last four.  And she’s been in excellent form to this stage, not dropping a set, and dropping only 13 games across six sets.

19-year-old Noskova achieved quite a milestone on Saturday, upsetting World No.1 Iga Swiatek in three sets.  She was the more consistent player in the last two sets against Iga, especially on big points.   

But in their first career meeting, I favor Svitolina to prevail.  It’s another matchup on Day 9 where one player possesses so much more experience on a stage like this, as Noskova had never advanced beyond the second round of a Major prior to this run.  And it will be tough for Linda to play her best tennis coming off such a career-changing win.


Sascha Zverev (6) vs. Cameron Norrie (19) – Not Before 4:00pm on Margaret Court Arena

Zverev is playing amidst ongoing domestic abuse allegations against him, which he will stand trial for in May.  Despite that, Netflix decided to feature Sascha in the new season of “Break Point” without any mention of the allegations.  And he was recently added to the ATP Player Advisory Council, something the press has questioned him on repeatedly during this tournament.  A semifinalist here in 2020, Zverev has now reached the second week of a Slam in 13 of his last 15 appearances, though he’s yet to face a top 50 player this fortnight.

That will change on Monday, as he plays the British No.1, who in the last round played his best match in quite awhile to defeat Casper Ruud in four sets.  Both Zverev and Norrie won five-setters in the their second round.  This is just the third time Cam has appeared in the second week of a Major, after going 0-3 in third round matches at this level a year ago.

Zverev is 4-0 against Norrie, with all four matches occurring on hard courts, and all decided in straight sets.  That includes a 6-2, 6-4 victory just a few months ago in Vienna.  Sascha is a considerable favorite to defeat Cam again on Monday.


Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz (2) – 7:00pm on Rod Laver Arena

Alcaraz has only lost one set to this stage, but it feels like he’s yet to reach top gear.  And he was not at his best during the last few months of the 2023 season, as he never seemed to recover from his near four-hour three-set loss to Novak Djokovic in the Cincinnati final.  This is only his third appearance in Melbourne, where he was just 3-2 previously, as he missed last year’s event due to injury.

Kecmanovic has survived back-to-back five-setters, against two seeded players (Struff, Paul).  This matches the 24-year-old’s best result at a Major, after reaching the same round of the same event two years ago.

Their only prior encounter was extremely tight.  In the quarterfinals of the 2022 Miami Open, Alcaraz outlasted Kecmanovic in a third-set tiebreak.  Miomir will surely feel less than 100% after playing 14 sets through three rounds, so this should be smooth sailing for Carlitos.


Other Notable Matches on Monday:

Nuno Borges vs. Daniil Medvedev (3) – Medvedev dropped the first set in his first round, and the first two sets in his second round, before beating Felix Auger-Aliassime in straights on Saturday. Borges is a 26-year-old from Portugal who was 2-7 at Slams prior to this fortnight, yet has only lost one set thus far, and has upset two seeded players (Davidovich Fokina, Dimitrov). 

Arthur Cazaux (WC) vs. Hubert Hurkacz (9) – In the last two rounds, Hurkacz has come from behind to defeat Jakub Mensik in five, and Ugo Humbert in four.  Cazaux’s three victories thus far are his first three at a Major, as the 21-year-old French wild card is now 8-0 to start 2024 at all levels, after winning a Challenger title a few weeks ago. 

Jasmine Paolini (26) vs. Anna Kalinskaya – Paolini is yet to lose a set, after previously never advancing beyond the second round at this level.  Kalinskaya has won two three-setters thus far, including one on Saturday over Sloane Stephens.  Three years ago at the Slovenia Open on a hard court, Paolini defeated Kalinskaya in straight sets.

Qinwen Zheng (12) vs. Oceane Dodin – This is Qinwen’s second consecutive appearance in a Slam quarterfinal, and she barely survived a final-set tiebreak in the last round over her fellow countrywoman, Yafan Wang.  Just like Paolini, Dodin has not dropped a set after failing to go farther than the second round of a Major prior to this event.  Qinwen leads their head-to-head 2-1 at all levels.


Monday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Wimbledon Daily Preview: A Rematch of This Year’s Australian Open Final

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Jannik Sinner this past week at Wimbledon (twitter.com/wimbledon)

Day 9 at The Championships hosts the first four singles quarterfinals.

Six months ago in the men’s championship match of the Australian Open, Jannik Sinner came from two-sets-down to outlast Daniil Medvedev in five, and capture his first Major title.  That defeat was just the latest in a career full of Major heartbreak for Medvedev, who is now 1-5 in Slam finals, with three of those losses coming in five-setters.  On Tuesday, Daniil gets a chance to avenge that loss, though it comes on grass, a surface Medvedev does not prefer.

Day 9’s other gentlemen’s singles quarterfinal sees defending champion Carlos Alcaraz take on Tommy Paul, in an even rivalry that is split at 2-2. 

The ladies’ singles quarterfinals on Tuesday feature four surprising debutantes at this stage of The Championships.  Qualifer Lulu Sun has come out of obscurity to make a hugely impressive run, and now faces three-time Major quarterfinalist Donna Vekic.  The other quarterfinal includes two players who had never won a main draw match at Wimbledon prior to this fortnight: Jasmine Paolini and Emma Navarro.

And weather permitting, there will be plenty of doubles matches around the grounds.  Rain has wreaked havoc on the doubles scheduling thus far, so doubles play on Tuesday hosts anywhere from first round to quarterfinal action.

Throughout the tournament, this preview will analyze the day’s four most prominent matches, while highlighting the other notable matches on the schedule.  Tuesday’s play is scheduled to begin at 11:00am local time.


Lulu Sun (Q) vs. Donna Vekic – 1:00pm on No.1 Court

23-year-old Sun was a huge underdog in the last round against Emma Raducanu, yet walked onto Centre Court and struck 52 winners to win match in style.  It’s been quite a run for Lulu since the beginning of qualifying two weeks ago, as she’s already won seven matches.  And as Ravi Ubha reminded on Twitter, she even saved a match point in the second round of qualifying.  Coming into this event, Sun had never won a match at a Major, as this is only her second appearance at this level.  But Lulu is now 31-13 this season at all levels, with two ITF-level titles.

Vekic obviously has a huge edge in experience, as she’s consistently played in Majors since 2013.  Her prior quarterfinals came at the 2019 US Open, and the 2023 Australian Open.  But she lost both of those quarterfinals in straight sets, so will her experience help her or hurt her?  Often, the longer a player fails to go deep at a Major, the harder that is to overcome.  And this is the first Major quarterfinal where Vekic is the higher-ranked player, which places a lot of pressure on her shoulders.

However, grass may be Donna’s best surface.  Five of her career 13 WTA finals have come on grass, including the week right before this event in Bad Homburg.  And she is coached by a Hall of Famer who knows all about winning on this surface: Pam Shriver, who is a five-time Wimbledon champion in women’s doubles, and a three-time semifinalist in singles.

As impressive as Lulu has been these last few weeks, a letdown following such a monumental, emotional victory is almost inevitable.  And Donna has been striking the ball rather crisply through four rounds, enabling her to pull out a trio of three-setters.  Vekic is the favorite to achieve her first Major semifinal.


Jannik Sinner (1) vs. Daniil Medvedev (5) – 1:30pm on Centre Court

All 11 of their meetings have taken place on hard courts, and their history can be divided into two distinct eras.  Medvedev won the first six, between February of 2020 and March of 2023.  But within the past year, it’s been all Sinner, who has now beaten Medvedev five times in a row.  Jannik claimed three tight matches last fall, before his Australian Open victory in five.  And most recently, Sinner thumped Medvedev in the Miami Open semifinals by a score of 6-1, 6-2. 

This past January in Melbourne, Medvedev caught Sinner off-guard by playing extremely aggressively, as opposed to his usual counter-punching style.  And it worked for the first two sets, before Jannik made some adjustments.  And a depleted Daniil, who had already played three five-setters that fortnight, ran out of gas.  Medvedev tried to repeat that strategy in Miami, but Sinner was expecting it this time, and it failed miserably.

Both players should be fully fresh for this quarterfinal, as they’ve both lost only two sets thus far, and Medvedev only played eight games in his last round, as Grigor Dimitrov retired due to injury.  But this surface certainly favors Sinner, and the World No.1 has been nearly unstoppable this season, with a record of 42-3.  The Italian is a considerable favorite to defeat Daniil for a sixth consecutive time, and reach his second consecutive Wimbledon semifinal.


Carlos Alcaraz (3) vs. Tommy Paul (12) – Second on No.1 Court

All four of their prior meetings took place at Masters 1000 tournaments in North America between August of 2022 and August of 2023.  Paul prevailed in Canada two years in a row, both times winning a third set 6-3.  Alcaraz won in Miami and Cincinnati, in a two-setter and a three-setter.

Alcaraz is certainly the favorite in their rubber match, as he’s on an 11-match winning streak at SW19.  And along with Sinner and Djokovic, he has separated himself from the field as one of the three best men’s singles players in the world.  However, Carlitos has looked vulnerable during this event, both in a five-set win over Frances Tiafoe, and a four-set win over Ugo Humbert.

And Paul is one of the only ATP players who has the all-around skills to rival that of Alcaraz.  When he’s playing his best, which he has in comfortably winning his last two rounds, Tommy doesn’t have an obvious hole in his game.  So while I’m still backing Alcaraz to advance, I’m expecting a prolonged, entertaining battle.


Jasmine Paolini (7) vs. Emma Navarro (19) – Second on Centre Court

They have met three times, all within the past 12 months, and all three matches have gone to Navarro.  The American won in straights in both San Diego and Doha, while most recently winning in three just a few months ago in Miami, via a third-set score of 6-0.

However, Paolini is playing with more confidence now than ever, coming off her thrilling run to the final of Roland Garros, and picking up the first four Wimbledon victories of her career.  Jasmine claimed the first three in straights, while she survived a close call against Madison Keys in the last round, with Keys unable to close out the match due to injury, eventually retiring at 5-5 in the third.

Navarro has also dropped just one set, and appeared completely nonplussed during Centre Court upsets over two Major champions: Naomi Osaka and Coco Gauff.  Emma was the more confident, consistent, and composed player in both of those matches, forcing errors and negativity out of both Naomi and Coco.

Based on those performances, as well as her rather dominant history against Paolini, I like Navarro’s chances of achieving her first Major semifinal.


Other Notable Matches on Tuesday:

Katerina Siniakova and Taylor Townsend (4) vs. Lyudmyla Kichenok and Jelena Ostapenko (9) – This is a quarterfinal match in ladies doubles.  Siniakova is now an eight-time Major champion in women’s doubles, after winning the last Slam alongside Coco Gauff.  Townsend is a two-time Major runner-up, while Kichenok and Ostapenko were runners-up six months ago in Melbourne.

Su-wei Hsieh and Elise Mertens (1) vs. Coco Gauff and Jessica Pegula (11) – This is another ladies’ doubles quarterfinal.  Mertens has reached the Wimbledon final in ladies’ doubles three years running, winning it in 2021 alongside Su-wei, who also won this event a year ago with Barbora Strycova.  Gauff and Pegula are one-time Major finalists as a team, while Coco has now reached three Major finals in women’s doubles.


Tuesday’s full Order of Play is here.

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New Injury Heartbreak At Wimbledon Moves Elena Rybakina Into Last Eight

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Elena Rybakina - WTA Madrid 2024 (foto X @MutuaMadridOpen)

A day after two players had to withdraw from their matches due to injury, another unfortunate situation occurred in Elena Rybakina’s fourth round match at Wimbledon. 

The former champion was taking on Anna Kalinskaya in what started as a heavy-hitting encounter before the Russian started to struggle with her right arm which forced her to take medical time out. Play continued for less than 30 minutes before Kalinskaya retired when trailing 3-6, 0-3. Sending Rybakina into the last eight at SW19 for the third year in a row. 

“Definitely not the way I wanted to finish the match. She’s a great player and I know she was suffering with a couple of injuries.” Rybakina said on court.
“If it’s the wrist it’s difficult to continue to play and I just wish her a speedy recovery.”

Both players illustrated their heavy-hitting abilities from the onset with Kalinskaya being the first to draw blood as she broke in the opening game. However, the match momentum changed midway through the opener when Rybakina broke before her opponent was forced to take a medical timeout for treatment on her right forearm/wrist. Prompting concerned looks from her camp, which included boyfriend and men’s No.1 Jannik Sinner. 

When play resumed a couple of games later, Rybakina held her nerve during a tight service game where she failed to convert a quartet of set points before clinching the 6-3 lead. 

Kalinskaya’s problems continued into the second frame after she hit a backhand error followed by a double fault to drop serve once again. It was two games after that she called it quits. 

“My serve helps me a lot and especially when the roof is closed. There is no wind, no conditions and it is perfect for my game. I’m really happy the way I played the last two matches. I really enjoyed my time here.” Rybakina said on her form so far. 

The Kazakh is the only player remaining in the draw who has previously won Wimbledon, as well as the highest ranked.

“I don’t feel pressure,” she stated. “Every opponent is difficult and I know that I must always bring my best and that’s what I try to do form every match. 
“I’m just really enjoying every time I step out on the court and I am happy I am going fine in the draw and hopefully I can go to the end.”

Rybakina has reached 11 quarter-finals during the first seven months of this season. Something that was last achieved by Carla Suarez Navarro in 2015. Excluding today’s match, she has registered 10 wins against top 20 players already in 2024.

The injury-affected match is the third to happen in the past two days. On Sunday Madison Keys retired at 5-5 in the third set against Jasmine Paolini and Grigor Dimitrov had to pull out during the opening set of his clash with Daniil Medvedev. 

Rybakina will next play either Elina Svitolina or Wang Xinyu .

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Boris Becker: “Sinner Is The Most Confident Player On The Tour

The German on the world No. 1: “To beat Jannik you have to do better than him, and this has seldom happened lately. He never plays a poor match”

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Image via ATP Cup Twitter


Boris Becker will be part of Sky Sports Italy’s team of commentators starting from the quarterfinals of the men’s singles next week.

interviewed by Federica Cocchi from the Gazzetta dello Sport, he said he was enthusiastic about a specific match  of this first week: 

The match between Sinner and Berrettini was ‘a real’ match of excellent tennis. I was pleased to see that Matteo is once more competitive at last, but I didn’t have big worries about Jannik: he is confident like few others on the tour right now.”He said. 

There is the eternal debate about the ‘good’ or ‘bad’ draws to me, as a player and then as a coach, it has always seemed a sterile discussion, it is the player who makes the draw a good draw. Personally, I always preferred to start with tougher opponents, because it prepared me mentally for the second week. I think Sinner’s victory with Berrettini has projected him fully into the tournament.” 

Becker, who won the Wimbledon title three times during the 1980s, goes on to explain the challenges of playing on grass are for players.

Tennis on grass is a different sport from the tennis which is played on other surfaces,” explains the German, “the movements are much more complicated, I remember that the first few days I used to struggle to organise my footwork. The body has a different, lower position, the points are very fast and you have to be physically prepared and mentally reactive. If you drop your service on clay you still have the chance to regroup, if it happens to you on grass you have much fewer opportunities. Psychologically it is certainly the toughest surface to manage, you have to have a lot of confidence in your game and Sinner has it right now.” 

I think Sinner is on the right track. He has been playing for months now at a very high level, and his greatest quality is consistency. If we consider the last period he has not yet played a “bad match”, let’s touch wood. On the one hand you can’t always win, but on the other he has always kept a very high level, more than any other player since the beginning of the year. This means that to beat him you have to do even better and that’s why this year he’s only lost a couple of matches.” 

Two of Sinner’s three defeats came at Indian Wells and Roland Garros to his friend, and seemingly lifelong rival, Carlos Alcaraz.

We all have weaknesses, even Alcaraz! No, seriously, on the court he’s close to perfection, but sometimes he is a bit fluctuating in form while Sinner is more continuously consistent. When you see a match of Jannik today, you know exactly what to expect, with Carlos you don’t. Right now the Italian is mentally rock solid and this is evident on the court.” 

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