US Open Daily Preview: The Men’s Semifinals - UBITENNIS
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US Open Daily Preview: The Men’s Semifinals

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Carlos Alcaraz after winning his quarterfinal on Wednesday night (twitter.com/usopen)

The men’s singles semifinals are set for Friday, as is the men’s doubles championship match.

The men’s semifinals feature three US Open champions, and a 20-year-old American making his Major semifinal debut.  The last two winners of this event will face off, as 2022 champ Carlos Alcaraz plays 2021 champ Daniil Medvedev.  And three-time champion Novak Djokovic takes on assertive newcomer Ben Shelton.

And in the men’s doubles championship match, it’s Rohan Bopanna and Matthew Ebden (6) vs. Rajeev Ram and Joe Salisbury (3).  This is a second Major final in men’s doubles for 43-year-old Bopanna, who was a runner-up at this same event 13 years ago.  Ebden teamed with Max Purcell to win the gentlemen’s doubles title last year at Wimbledon.  Ram and Salisbury are two-time defending champions, and if they win, they would become the first men’s doubles team to three-peat at this tournament in 109 years.


Ben Shelton vs. Novak Djokovic (2) – Not Before 3:00pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium

“I know that they want to get a scalp, they want to win… but it ain’t happening, still.”

That’s what Djokovic said two months ago on Centre Court after his quarterfinal victory at Wimbledon, regarding the younger generation of players trying to take his spot atop the sport.  Novak thrives on fighting them off, and has made a career out of beating the belief out of them.  But will the powerful and confident Shelton benefit from never having played Djokovic, and never having lost to him?

On Tuesday night, Ben displayed just how strong his self-belief is, and just how uncompromising he’s willing be in the critical moments of big matches.  After splitting the first two sets with fellow American Frances Tiafoe, Shelton grabbed the lead in the third-set tiebreak, before double faulting his lead away, going for two overly-aggressive second serves.  Yet when facing set point, he still pummeled a forehand return right into the corner of the court at 105 mph.  Ben claimed that tiebreak, seemingly breaking Frances’s spirit, and easily took the fourth set and the match.  That’s the kind of power and mentality can threaten Djokovic, and Shelton’s lack of scare tissue from previous losses to the all-time great is an advantage he has over many other of Novak’s recent victims in the latter stages of Majors. 

Novak is the only male player to reach every Slam semifinal this season, and he’s 3-0 thus far, with victories over Tommy Paul, Alcaraz, and Jannik Sinner.  He’s is 35-11 lifetime in Major semis, and astoundingly has claimed 21 of his last 22, and his last 11 in a row dating back to the 2019 French Open. 

Within the past decade, Djokovic has only lost two Major semifinals, and those two losses came under extreme weather conditions: an incredibly hot and humid day nine years ago in New York when he lost to Kei Nishikori, and an extremely windy day four years ago in Paris when he lost to Dominic Thiem.  And with the recent heat in New York forecasted to subside on Friday, Novak is a considerable favorite to achieve his 36th Major final, extending his Open Era record in men’s singles.  It wlll be incredibly difficult for Shelton to maintain a high-enough level to oust Djokovic and his exhausting all-court abilities.


Carlos Alcaraz (1) vs. Daniil Medvedev (3) – Not Before 7:00pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium

This should be an incredibly compelling contest between the two winningest ATP players of 2023.  Alcaraz is 58-6, with six titles, including his second Major at Wimbledon.  Medvedev is 54-11, with five titles. 

For Daniil, this is a second Major semifinal of the year, and his seventh overall.  He is 4-2 in this round, though is his last Slam semi two months ago at Wimbledon, he lost to Alcaraz in straight sets.  All of Medvedev’s previous wins at this stage of a Slam have occurred on hard courts.

Alcaraz has now advanced to the semifinals in his last four Major appearances, and he is 2-1 in this round.  He’s dropped only one set so far this fortnight, to Dan Evans in the third round.  Medvedev has dropped two sets, both to Australians (O’Connell, de Minaur).

Carlitos leads their head-to-head 2-1, and has taken their last two encounters.  That includes the aforementioned Wimbledon semifinal from this past July, as well as the final of Indian Wells six months ago, though it’s worth noting Daniil was completely drained for that contest after winning 19 consecutive matches in the span of five weeks.  Medvedev’s victory came two years ago at Wimbledon, but that was before Alcaraz rose to the top of the sport.

Medvedev definitely peaked between February and May of this season, and hasn’t won a title or reached a final since.  He arrived in New York with little form, going just 3-2 on North American hard courts.  However, he has steadily increased his level at this tournament has progressed, and has spoken openly regarding how pleased he is with the way the US Open courts are playing this year.  And he’ll be relieved to find cooler temperatures for this semifinal than his sweltering quarterfinal on Wednesday.

It’s important to remember this is the first time Carlitos has defended a Major title in his young career.  And no man has defended this title in 15 years, when Roger Federer won his fifth in a row back in 2008.  Plus, Alcaraz has been sporting tape on his upper left leg this week, so he is nursing an injury to at least some degree.

After the epic Wimbledon final in July, and the equally-epic Cincinnati final in August, the tennis world has been hyper-focused on the potential of a Djokovic/Alcaraz rubber match in New York.  But I don’t see that happening.  As dynamic as Carlitos’ game is, Daniil defends on this surface better than anyone not named Djokovic, and can draw more errors out of Alcaraz than any player the Spaniard has faced to this stage.  And in a match that will likely extend to four or five grueling sets, the extent of Carlitos’ injury will be revealed.


Friday’s full Order of Play is here.

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Wimbledon Daily Preview: The Third Major of 2024 Starts on Monday

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A look at the grounds of The All-England Club (twitter.com/Wimbledon)

Day 1 at The Championships is one of the most special days of the tennis year, with play commencing at the sport’s most historic tournament, on the nearly-pristine green grass of The All-England Club.

As tradition dictates, the defending gentlemen’s singles champion opens Centre Court play on Day 1 of the fortnight.  And for the first time, that man is Carlos Alcaraz, who defeated four-time defending champion Novak Djokovic a year ago in five sets, and is coming off his third Major title just three weeks ago in Paris.

Monday’s schedule also includes 2024’s other Major winner in men’s singles, Jannik Sinner, as the top seed finds himself in the same half of the draw as third-seeded Alcaraz.  In addition, Daniil Medvedev, a semifinalist here a year ago, also plays his first round match on Day 1, as will 2021 runner-up Matteo Berrettini.

WTA play on Monday is headlined by two other reigning Major champions: Coco Gauff and Aryna Sabalenka.  Another pair of Slam champs, Victoria Azarenka and Sloane Stephens, will square off in the opening round on Day 1.  Plus, the 2021 US Open champion, Britain’s Emma Raducanu, takes on Ekaterina Alexandrova, who is one of only four players to defeat World No.1 Iga Swiatek during the first six months of 2024.  And four-time Major champ Naomi Osaka will play her first match at Wimbledon since 2019.

Throughout the tournament, this preview will analyze the day’s four most prominent matches, while highlighting the other notable matches on the schedule.  Monday’s play begins at 11:00am local time.


Matteo Arnaldi vs. Frances Tiafoe (29) – 11:00am on Court 15

This is the most intriguing first-on match of the day.  Tiafoe was a US Open quarterfinalist less than two years ago, and reached the quarters of that same event last summer.  But since leaving New York, where he was upset by fellow American Ben Shelton, Frances has not been the same player.  He is just 13-15 on the year, and arrives at SW19 having not won consecutive matches in three months.

Arnaldi is a 23-year-old Italian who recently achieved a career-high ranking of No.34, and in Paris advanced to the second week of a Major for the second time out of the last three Slams  He upset Andrey Rublev in the third round of Roland Garros, the third top 10 win of his young career.  However, Matteo is only 1-2 lifetime on grass at tour level.

Though In their first career meeting, an upset would be far from shocking.  Arnaldi’s complete lack of experience on this surface is rivaled by Tiafoe’s complete lack of confidence.  And Matteo possesses a formidable forehand with a short backswing, an asset on the fast-playing lawns of Wimbledon.


Matteo Berrettini vs. Marton Fucsovics – Second on Court 12

Another Italian Matteo headlines another of Monday’s most interesting contests, and this Matteo went all the way to the championship match of this tournament just three years ago.  Berrettini loves playing on grass: four of his eight career ATP titles have come on this surface.  But the perpetual issue in the 28-year-old’s career is staying healthy.  The big man’s body has failed him multiple times in recent years, and he’s played only 14 tour-level matches since suffering a gruesome ankle injury at last year’s US Open.

The best Slam result of Fucsovics’ career came at this same event in the same year Berrettini reached the final.  Marton was a quarterfinalist in 2021, thanks to upsets over three top 20 seeds (Sinner, Schwartzman, Rublev).  But the Hungarian veteran is just 11-9 at ATP level this season, and did not play a grass court warmup event.

By contrast, Berrettini played two, highlighted by a run to the final of Stuttgart.  And even though Fucsovics claimed their only prior ATP encounter, that came over five years ago, prior to the Italian discovering his best tennis.  This is another case where I favor the Italian player named Matteo to advance.


Ekaterina Alexandrova (22) vs. Emma Raducanu (WC) – Second on Centre Court

Centre Court’s closest match of the day will likely be this one.  Just within the past week in Eastbourne, Raducanu has played perhaps her best tennis since winning the US Open in 2021.  She clobbered Sloane Stephens 6-4, 6-0, before earning the first top 10 victory of her career over another American, Jessica Pegula.  Emma even saved a match point before prevailing over Jess.

A year ago at this tournament, Alexandrova advanced to the second week of a Major for the first time.  She also won back-to-back grass court titles in 2022 and 2023, both in ‘s-Hertogenbosch.  And earlier this season in Miami, which plays at a similar court speed to that of Wimbledon, Ekaterina reached the semifinals, with wins over both Swiatek and Pegula.

Raducanu and Alexandrova have never played before, and Emma will certainly benefit from an overwhelming amount of crowd support.  However, that also comes with a lot of pressure and expectation, especially after such strong wins just a few days prior.  I give Alexandrova the slight edge on Monday.


Victoria Azarenka (16) vs. Sloane Stephens – Last on No.2 Court

These are two hard court Major champions who have not advanced to the quarterfinals of this event in about a decade.  Azarenka is a two-time semifinalist here, but hasn’t gone that far in 12 years.  Stephens’ sole quarterfinal appearance occurred in 2015.

During 2024, Vika has been the better player.  She is 24-11, and recently reached the semifinals of Berlin on this surface.  Stephens is just 18-16, and went just 1-2 on grass in June. 

Their rivalry dates back to a contentious semifinal at the 2013 Australian Open, when Azarenka took a nearly 10-minute medical timeout late in the match, and was subsequently accused of doing so for the purpose of disrupting Stephens’s momentum.  Overall Vika is 5-4 against Sloane, and while they have never played on grass, recent form dictates Azarenka be considered the favorite.


Other Notable Matches on Monday:

Carlos Alcaraz (3) vs. Mark Lajal (Q) – After winning his third Major in Paris, Alcaraz spent some time partying in Ibiza, then lost his second match at Queens Club in straight sets to Great Britain’s Jack Draper.  Lajal is a 21-year-old Estonian qualifier making his Major debut, and took to Instagram on Friday to boldly proclaim that Carlitos would be losing in the first round of Wimbledon.

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Daniil Medvedev (3) – Medvedev is 28-9 in 2024, but is yet to reach a semifinal this year on clay or grass.  Kovacevic is a 25-year-old American who is just 1-3 in the main draw of Slams. 

Gael Monfils vs. Adrian Mannarino (22) – This past week in Mallorca, Monfils advanced to the semifinals, losing to eventual champion Alejandro Tabilo in a third-set tiebreak.  Mannarino is a meager 8-17 on the season, and arrives on a three-match losing streak on grass.  In this battle of veteran Frenchmen, Gael leads their head-to-head 5-2, though they are 1-1 at SW19.

Emina Bektas vs. Aryna Sabalenka (3) – Sabalenka comes into this fortnight at less than 100%, as she pulled out of Berlin last week with a shoulder injury, which she told the media this week is still bothering her.  Bektas is a 31-year-old American looking for her first victory at a Major.

Naomi Osaka (WC) vs. Diane Parry – Osaka is only 4-3 lifetime at The Championships, and is 15-12 on the year, after going 2-2 on grass between ‘s-Hertogenbosch and Berlin.  Parry is a 21-year-old from France who debuted inside the top 50 earlier this season, and is coming off a semifinal run on grass in Nottingham. 

Caroline Dolehide vs. Coco Gauff (2) – Gauff is now 32-10 this year, and was a grass court semifinalist in Berlin.  It was a first-round loss at this tournament a year ago to fellow American Sofia Kenin that prompted Coco to make changes to her team, which helped propel her to her first Major title just two months later in New York.  Dolehide is another fellow American who was a surprise finalist at last fall’s WTA 1000 event in Guadalajara, where she herself defeated Kenin in the semifinals.  Coco has taken both of their prior matches in straight sets.

Jannik Sinner (1) vs. Yannick Hanfmann – Sinner is a superb 38-3 on the season, and just won his first grass court title last week in Halle.  Unlike the last Major, Jannik arrives at this one fully healthy, which means trouble for the field.  In the first round of the 2023 US Open, he comfortably defeated Hanfmann in straights.

Paula Badosa vs. Karolina Muchova – This is only Muchova’s second tournament since last year’s US Open due to a wrist injury, and she withdrew midway through her first event back this past week in Eastbourne.  Badosa is another player whose career has been derailed by injury, as she missed the last half of last season, and is just 13-12 since returning.  They have split their two previous matchups, though Muchova’s victory came three years ago at this event.


Monday’s full Order of Play is here.

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(VIDEO) Jannik Sinner Set To Renew Rivalry With Defending Champion Alcaraz, Djokovic Ready To Play

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz could meet each other for a second consecutive Grand Slam semi-final.

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(@TheTennisLetter - Twitter)

Jannik Sinner has been given a tough draw at Wimbledon as he is set to play defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals.

The world number one enters Wimbledon having won the ATP 500 event in Halle, defeating Hubert Hurkacz in the final.

However Sinner’s chances of winning a maiden Wimbledon crown have a few obstacles as the Italian will likely have to play Matteo Berrettini, Tallon Griekspoor, and Grigor Dimitrov on his way to the quarter-finals.

Should Sinner get through that tough draw, the world number one will then play defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the semi-finals.

However, Novak Djokovic has a much easier draw as he continues to get stronger after his meniscus surgery in Paris.

The Serb’s most dangerous opponent on his way to the final is Halle finalist Hurkacz in the quarter-finals.

A match which Djokovic edged to victory in four sets at last year’s Wimbledon.

Ubitennis founder Ubaldo Scanagatta looks back on the men’s draw and compares Sinner and Djokovic’s potential routes to the final.

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Sebastian Ofner beats Jubb, Alejandro Tabilo downs Monfils in Mallorca

Brit’s remarkable run ends at the hands of Sebastian Ofner in the semi-finals as ranking shoots up

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(@MallorcaChamps - Twitter)

Britain’s Paul Jubb amazing week ended in the semi finals after a 4-6, 5-7 loss to Sebastian Ofner – but he leaves with his head held high after seeing his ranking rocket up 88 places to provisionally #201, just a few spots shy of his career high achieved two years ago.

Austrian Ofner put in a solid match winning an astonishing 90% behind first serves, as well as an impressive 15 aces. But the headline statistic of 33 winners told the story as he consistently came out on top in baseline rallies with some fabulously constructed points mixing depth with short angles. He converted two of his three breakpoints and served out with an ace to reach his first ATP Final.

“I have always played well on grass, so for my first final to come on grass is something special,” Ofner said on court after his victory. “It’s also the surface on which I qualified for my first Grand Slam at Wimbledon. I just wanted to go with power on my first serve [at the end] because that’s the best chance to have no rally. But I played great the last games and happy that I got the win.”

Jubb should take heart from a great week where he came through qualifying to win three rounds of main draw as well as taking out top seed Ben Shelton yesterday in an epic encounter lasting two hours and 45 minutes, while Ofner contemplates a first tour title at the age of 28.

In the final, the Austrain faces Alejandro Tabilo who defeated Gael Monfils 2-6, 6-2, 7-6 (7-3). The French veteran had recaptured his grass court form this week having not played on the surface for three years, but ran into a red-hot Tabilo who is having a career-best season by reaching his third final of the year.

Monfils closed the first set in just 28 minutes with an ace and looked convincing but Tabilo struck back by breaking twice in the second to square things up. Both men upped their game in the decider with no breaks of serve and the tie-break began with a superb 27-shot rally where Monfils – who had looked passive throughout the point – attempting a drop shot which Tabilo chased down for a backhand winner. He clenched his fist to the crowd and rode the momentum to take the match when Monfils double faulted on the last point.

“I think I started a little nervous, not really intense. I couldn’t find the court,” said Tabilo afterwards. “As the first set went on, I started getting a little looser, started hitting the ball [better]. Second set, I knew it was a new match and I had to start all over.”

Monfils now heads to Wimbledon where he will face countryman Adrian Mannarino in the first round before a possible encounter with Stan Wawrinka, while Tabilo will look to sleep well and recover for tomorrow’s title match – after which he will also contest the doubles final with partner Diego Hidalgo against Robert Galloway and Britain’s Julian Cash.

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